2012

World Risk Developments, March 2012

• Sentiment about the world economy continues to improve.
• Oil has now replaced the eurozone as the main threat to the world economy.
• The eurozone crisis has only entered a lull, not ended.

World Risk Developments, February 2012

We note that data and sentiment about the world economy have improved somewhat from when we last wrote in December. The eurozone crisis in particular has subsided. But we still see six reasons to be cautious.

1. The US, Japan, UK and eurozone are all travelling at 'stall speed’.
2. Monetary policy is still not gaining much traction.
3. The eurozone crisis could still go acute.
4. Emerging markets may struggle to decouple from a North Atlantic downturn as successfully as after the Lehman bankruptcy.
5. China could suffer a home-grown crisis as its own unbalanced growth model becomes unsustainable.
6. Risk of conflict with Iran has increased.

So we will need to remain alert to downside and tail risks.

2011

World Risk Developments, December 2011
World Risk Developments, November 2011
World Risk Developments, October 2011
World Risk Developments, September 2011
World Risk Developments, August 2011
World Risk Developments, July 2011
World Risk Developments, June 2011
World Risk Developments, May 2011
World Risk Developments, April 2011
World Risk Developments, March 2011
World Risk Developments, February 2011

2010  

World Risk Developments, December 2010
World Risk Developments, November 2010
World Risk Developments, October 2010
World Risk Developments, September 2010
World Risk Developments, August 2010
World Risk Developments, July 2010
World Risk Developments, June 2010
World Risk Developments, May 2010
World Risk Developments, April 2010
World Risk Developments, March 2010
World Risk Developments, February 2010
World Risk Developments, January 2010

2009

World Risk Developments, December 2009
World Risk Developments, November 2009
World Risk Developments, October 2009
World Risk Developments, September 2009
World Risk Developments, August 2009
World Risk Developments, July 2009
World Risk Developments, June 2009
World Risk Developments, May 2009
World Risk Developments, March 2009
World Risk Developments, January 2009 

2008

World Risk Developments, December 2008
World Risk Developments, November 2008
World Risk Developments, September 2008
World Risk Developments, August 2008
World Risk Developments, July 2008
World Risk Developments, June 2008
World Risk Developments, April 2008
World Risk Developments, March 2008
World Risk Developments, January 2008